Probability of development

November 2, 2015/in Future Change Tools, Terrestrial /by m.mallek

The probability of development predicts the likelihood of development between 2010 and 2080. A model of urban growth that accounts for the intensity, amount, and spatial pattern of development was used to generate this layer. It uses county-level predictions for development from a U.S. Forest Service 2010 Resources Planning Act assessment. The type and pattern of development is based on models of historical development and is influenced by factors such as slope, proximity to open water, existing secured lands, and distance to roads and urban centers. It can be used to identify areas that may be at risk for future development.

View this product as a web map on Data Basin.

Access this data as a GIS download from the North Atlantic LCC website.

Read the Technical Abstract for this data layer (probDevelop.tif).

About Connect the Connecticut

What can we do today to ensure a sustainable future for the Connecticut River watershed? Connect the Connecticut is a collaborative effort to identify the best places to start: a network of priority lands and waters that can support wildlife and natural systems, with multiple pathways for migration, restoration, development, and conservation.

Connect the Connecticut is supported by The North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative, an applied science and management partnership that builds upon a long history of conservation in the region to unite stakeholders around common goals for sustaining natural and cultural resources, and to develop tools and strategies to achieve those goals in the face of threats and uncertainty.

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