The probability of development predicts the likelihood of development between 2010 and 2080. A model of urban growth that accounts for the intensity, amount, and spatial pattern of development was used to generate this layer. It uses county-level predictions for development from a U.S. Forest Service 2010 Resources Planning Act assessment. The type and pattern of development is based on models of historical development and is influenced by factors such as slope, proximity to open water, existing secured lands, and distance to roads and urban centers. It can be used to identify areas that may be at risk for future development.
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Read the Technical Abstract for this data layer (probDevelop.tif).